Recovering Vote by Race in Primary Elections: Does Local Ecological Inference Provide Accurate Estimates of Voting Behavior Without Polling Data?
Scholars know far less about voting behavior in primary elections than in general elec- tions, yet in the many parts of the country where one party dominates, it is primary elections that determine who holds office. Because of the absence of the party cue, the roles of race, income and education in voting behavior are …