Working Papers

2025

  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Studying Individual-Level Attitudes Towards Important Problems Using Pairwise Comparisons”
    Abstract  pdf

Books in Preparation

2022

  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Pragmatic Social Measurement”
    Abstract  pdf

Books

2025

  • Nick Vivyan, Benjamin E Lauderdale, and Chris Hanretty, “Idiosyncratic Issue Opinion and Political Choice”, Oxford University Press, 2025
    Abstract  open access  data

Forthcoming Articles

Published Articles

2025

  • Dominik Hangartner, Benjamin E Lauderdale, Judith Spirig, “Inferring Individual Preferences from Group Decisions: Judicial Preference Variation and Aggregation in Asylum Appeals”, British Journal of Political Science
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data
  • Markus Kollberg, Benjamin Lauderdale, and Christopher Wratil, “Winning Votes and Changing Minds: Do Populist Arguments Affect Candidate Evaluations and Issue Preferences?”, British Journal of Political Science
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data
  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, Jack Blumenau, “Polarization over the Priority of Political Problems”, American Journal of Political Science
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data
  • David E Broockman, Benjamin E Lauderdale, ““Moderates””, American Political Science Review
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data

2024

  • Jack Blumenau, Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Liberals and Conservatives Rely on Very Similar Sets of Foundations When Comparing Moral Violations”, American Political Science Review
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data
  • Noam Titelman, Benjamin E Lauderdale, “The Effects of Party Labels on Vote Choice with Realistic Candidate Differentiation”, Political Science Research and Methods
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data
  • Lucy Barnes, Julia de Romément, Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Public Preferences over Changes to the Composition of Government Tax Revenue”, British Journal of Political Science
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data
  • Jack Blumenau and Benjamin E Lauderdale, “The Variable Persuasiveness of Political Rhetoric”, American Journal of Political Science
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data

2023

  • Denise Baron, Benjamin E Lauderdale, and Jennifer Sheehy-Skeffington, “A Leader Who Sees the World as I Do: Voters Prefer Candidates Whose Statements Reveal Matching Social-Psychological Attitudes”, Political Pyschology
    Abstract  preprint  open access

2022

  • Ginevra Floridi and Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Pairwise Comparisons as a Scale Development Tool for Composite Measures”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society - Series A
    Abstract  preprint  open access
  • Lucy Barnes, Jack Blumenau, Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Measuring Attitudes towards Public Spending using a Multivariate Tax Summary Experiment”, American Journal of Political Science
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data

2021

  • Noam Titelman and Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Can Citizens Guess How Other Citizens Voted Based on Demographic Characteristics?”, Political Science Research and Methods
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data
  • Deborah Beim, Tom S Clark and Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Republican-Majority Appellate Panels Increase Execution Rates for Capital Defendants”, Journal of Politics
    Abstract  preprint  journal  data

2020

  • Chris Hanretty, Benjamin E Lauderdale and Nick Vivyan, “A Choice-Based Measure of Issue Importance in the Electorate”, American Journal of Political Science
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data

2019

  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, Delia Bailey, Jack Blumenau and Douglas Rivers, “Model-Based Pre-Election Polling for National and Sub-National Outcomes in the US and UK”, International Journal of Forecasting
    Abstract  preprint  journal

2018

  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, Chris Hanretty and Nick Vivyan, “Decomposing Public Opinion Variation into Ideology, Idiosyncrasy and Instability”, Journal of Politics
    Abstract  preprint  journal  data
  • Jack Blumenau and Benjamin Lauderdale, “Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste”, Journal of Politics
    Abstract  preprint  journal  data

2017

  • Patrick Sturgis et al, “An assessment of the causes of the errors in the 2015 UK general election opinion polls”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A
    Abstract  open access
  • Chris Hanretty, Benjamin E Lauderdale and Nick Vivyan, “Dyadic representation in a Westminster system”, Legislative Studies Quarterly, 42(2):235-267
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data

2016

  • Benjamin E. Lauderdale and Tom S. Clark, “Who Controls Opinion Content? Testing Theories of Authorship using Case-Specific Preference Estimates for the US Supreme Court”, Journal of Politics 78(4):1153-1169.
    Abstract  preprint  journal  data
  • Benjamin E. Lauderdale, “Partisan Disagreements Arising from Rationalization of Common Information”, Political Science Research and Methods
    Abstract  preprint  journal  data
  • Benjamin Lauderdale and Alexander Herzog, “Measuring Political Positions from Legislative Speech”, Political Analysis 24(3):374-394
    Abstract  preprint  journal  data
  • Kenneth Benoit, Drew Conway, Benjamin E. Lauderdale, Michael Laver and Slava Mikhaylov, “Crowd-Sourced Text Analysis”, American Political Science Review, 110(2):278-295.
    Abstract  preprint  journal  data
  • Andrew C Eggers and Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Simulating Counterfactual Representation”, Political Analysis 24(2):281-290
    Abstract  preprint  journal  data
  • Chris Hanretty, Benjamin E Lauderdale, Nick Vivyan, “ Combining national and constituency polling for forecasting ”, Electoral Studies 41: 239-243
    Abstract  preprint  journal
  • Chris Hanretty, Benjamin E. Lauderdale, and Nick Vivyan, “ Comparing Strategies for Estimating Constituency Opinion from National Survey Samples ”, Political Science Research and Methods.
    Abstract  preprint  journal  data

2015

  • Benjamin E. Lauderdale and Drew A. Linzer, “Under-performing, Over-performing, or Just Performing? The Limitations of Fundamentals-based Presidential Election Forecasting”, International Journal of Forecasting, 31(3):965-979.
    Abstract  preprint  journal

2014

  • Benjamin E. Lauderdale and Tom S. Clark, “Scaling Meaningful Political Dimensions Using Texts and Votes”, American Journal of Political Science, 58(3)754-771.
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data
  • Melody Crowder-Meyer and Benjamin E. Lauderdale, “A Partisan Gap in the Supply of Female Potential Candidates”, Research & Politics, 1:1.
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data

2013

  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Does Inattention to Political Debate Explain the Polarization Gap Between the U.S. Congress and Public?”, Public Opinion Quarterly, 77(S):2-23.
    Abstract  preprint  open access

2012

2011

  • Cesar Zucco Jr. and Benjamin E. Lauderdale, “Distinguishing Between Influences on Brazilian Legislative Behavior”, Legislative Studies Quarterly, 36(3)363-396.
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data

2010

  • Tom S. Clark and Benjamin E. Lauderdale, “Locating Supreme Court Opinions in Doctrine Space”, American Journal of Political Science 54(4):871-890.
    Abstract  preprint  open access  data
  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Unpredictable Voters in Ideal Point Estimation”, Political Analysis 18(2):151-171.
    Abstract  preprint  journal

2008

  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Pass the Pork: Measuring Legislator Shares in Congress”, Political Analysis 16(3):235-249.
    Abstract  preprint  journal

Reports

2023

  • Alan Renwick, Ben Lauderdale and Meg Russell, “The Future of Democracy in the UK. Public Attitudes and Policy Responses.” Final Report of the Democracy in the UK after Brexit Project. UCL Constitution Unit.
    Abstract  Report
  • Alan Renwick, Ben Lauderdale, Meg Russell, and James Cleaver, “Public Preferences for Integrity and Accountability in Politics.” Results of a Second Survey of the UK Population. Third Report of the Democracy in the UK after Brexit Project. UCL Constitution Unit.
    Abstract  Report

2022

  • Alan Renwick, Ben Lauderdale, Meg Russell, and James Cleaver, “What Kind of Democracy Do People Want? Results of a Survey of the UK Population” First Report of the Democracy in the UK after Brexit Project. UCL Constitution Unit.
    Abstract  Report

2018

  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Which outcome to the Article 50 process do the British people want?”
    Abstract  pdf

2017

  • Benjamin E Lauderdale, “Submission to House of Lords Select Committee on Political Polling and Digital Media”
    Abstract

2016

  • Patrick Sturgis et al, “Report of the Inquiry into the 2015 British general election opinion polls”, London: Market Research Society and British Polling Council.
    Abstract  Report

Retired Papers

2021

  • Chris Hanretty, Benjamin E Lauderdale, Nick Vivyan, “The Emergence of Coherent Political Choices from Incomplete Issue Preferences”
    Abstract  pdf

2011

  • Nicholas Carnes and Benjamin E. Lauderdale, “Legislator Characteristics, Constituency Characteristics, and Roll Call Voting”
    Abstract  pdf
  • Ryan D. Enos and Benjamin E. Lauderdale, “Recovering Vote by Race in Primary Elections”
    Abstract  pdf

2007

  • Benjamin Lauderdale, “Latent Versus Self-Reported Ideology”
    Abstract  pdf